Monday, 12 March 2018

Asia shares rally as U.S. job data revive risk appetite

SYDNEY (Reuters) - A relief rally swept across Asian share markets on Monday after the latest U.S. jobs report managed to impress with its strength while also easing fears of inflation and faster rate hikes, a neat feat that whetted risk appetites globally.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan  climbed 1.3 percent, poised for a third session of gains.

South Korea .KS11 rose 1 percent while Australia's main index added 0.7 percent, boosted by mining shares on news that Australia could be exempt from new U.S. trade tariffs on steel and aluminium imports.

E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 put on another 0.3 percent.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 jumped 1.2 percent, showing little immediate reaction as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe came under renewed fire over suspicions of cronyism involving the sale of state-owned land.

Inflation worries faded on Friday after U.S. data showed nonfarm payrolls jumped by 313,000 jobs last month, but annual growth in average hourly earnings slowed to 2.6 percent after a spike in January.

The pullback in wages tempered speculation the Federal Reserve would project four rate hikes - or dot plots - at its policy meeting next week, instead of the current three.

“The release threaded the stock needle perfectly, exhibiting strong overall net job adds alongside an increase in the participation rate and tepid wages suggesting labour demand is being met by new entrants into the workforce,” said analysts at JPMorgan in a note.

“In reality though the market is probably reading too much into a single jobs report,” they cautioned.

“A fourth dot on March 21 may have been averted but the labour market is increasingly demonstrating evidence of tightness and this will inevitably translate into upside wage pressure.”

For now, Wall Street was happy to take the data at face value and the Dow jumped 1.77 percent, while the S&P 500  gained 1.74 percent and the Nasdaq 1.79 percent.

On the week, the S&P rose 3.5 percent, the Dow 3.25 percent and Nasdaq 4.2 percent.

The jobs news likewise lifted riskier currencies, including the Mexican peso and Canadian and Australian dollars, while weighing on the safe-haven yen.

Those cross currents left the U.S. dollar a shade lower against a basket of currencies at 89.973 The euro was last up a fraction at $1.2323 EUR=.

The dollar edged down on the yen to 106.38 JPY=, having bounced 0.5 percent on Friday.

Investors had trimmed holdings of yen last week on news U.S. President Donald Trump was prepared to meet with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un, a potential breakthrough in nuclear tensions in the region.

U.S. officials on Sunday defended Trump’s decision, saying the move was not just for show and not a gift to Pyongyang.

“Now the US is back to goldilocks at least for now, the tariffs are less severe, and Kim and Trump are to meet,” said Shane Oliver, Sydney-based chief economist at AMP.

“We still expect more volatility this year as many of these issues have further go run, but the broad trend in shares likely remains up.”

The mix of brisk U.S. economic growth and restrained inflation was a positive one for most commodities.

Spot gold XAU= was steady on Monday at $1,323.61 an ounce.

Brent crude futures rose 7 cents to $65.56 a barrel, after surging almost 3 percent on Friday. U.S. crude futures rose 6 cents to $62.10 a barrel.

Reference: Wayne Cole

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